Paris Fc vs Lyon
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.1
Paris FC xG
Expected goals
1.2
Lyon xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
2–0
7%
3–0
7%
4–1
6%
1–1
5%
Home
Paris FC
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Fc vs Lyon?
Paris FC is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Fc's current form?
Paris Fc have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Paris Fc won 0, drew 2, and Lyon won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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