Match Analysis

Paris Fc vs Lyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
41%
21%
Paris FC winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
2.12Avg goals scored1.92
0.76Avg goals conceded0.89
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Paris FC xG

Expected goals

1

Lyon xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

13%

11

13%

00

9%

01

9%

20

9%

21

9%

Home

Paris FC

Paris FC

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

WDLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Paris Fcall timeLyon
2D
8 Mar 26
Lyon11Paris FC
29 Oct 25
Paris FC33Lyon

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris Fc vs Lyon?

Paris FC is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris Fc's current form?

Paris Fc have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Paris Fc won 0, drew 2, and Lyon won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Paris FC Win38%
Draw41%
Lyon Win21%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%

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