Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Paris FC xG
Expected goals
1
Lyon xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
9%
0–1
9%
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
Home
Paris FC
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Fc vs Lyon?
Paris FC is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Fc's current form?
Paris Fc have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Paris Fc won 0, drew 2, and Lyon won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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