Match Analysis

Paris Fc vs Strasbourg

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
24%
20%
Paris FC winDrawStrasbourg win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.00
1.50Avg goals scored2.35
0.53Avg goals conceded1.88
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Paris FC xG

Expected goals

0.9

Strasbourg xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

11%

21

10%

10

9%

11

8%

30

8%

31

8%

Home

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Paris Fcall timeStrasbourg
1D
1W
15 Mar 26
Strasbourg00Paris FC
21 Sep 25
Paris FC23Strasbourg

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris Fc vs Strasbourg?

Paris FC is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris Fc's current form?

Paris Fc have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Paris Fc won 0, drew 1, and Strasbourg won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Paris FC Win56%
Draw24%
Strasbourg Win20%
BTTS54%
Over 2.564%