Match Analysis

Paris Saintgermain vs As Monaco

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
19%
69%
Paris Saint-Germain winDrawAS Monaco win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.40
1.86Avg goals scored1.62
1.73Avg goals conceded0.46
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Paris Saint-Germain xG

Expected goals

2.1

AS Monaco xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

13%

02

13%

03

9%

11

9%

12

9%

13

7%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $208K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Paris Saint-Germain
12%
52%
-40%
Draw
19%
AS Monaco
69%
48%
+21%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris Saintgermain vs As Monaco?

AS Monaco is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris Saintgermain's current form?

Paris Saintgermain have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Paris Saint-Germain Win12%
Draw19%
AS Monaco Win69%
BTTS44%
Over 2.553%

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