Paris Saintgermain vs As Monaco
FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
2.1
AS Monaco xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
13%
0–3
9%
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
1–3
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $208K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
AS Monaco
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saintgermain vs As Monaco?
AS Monaco is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saintgermain's current form?
Paris Saintgermain have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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