Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
1.6
Le Mans xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
1–0
5%
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Le Mans
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?
Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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