Match Analysis

Paris Saintgermain vs Troyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
9%
3%
Paris FC winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
1.50Avg goals scored0.99
0.53Avg goals conceded2.40
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Paris FC xG

Expected goals

0.4

Troyes xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

15%

30

15%

40

11%

10

10%

50

7%

21

6%

Home

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris Saintgermain vs Troyes?

Paris FC is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris Saintgermain's current form?

Paris Saintgermain have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Paris FC Win88%
Draw9%
Troyes Win3%
BTTS31%
Over 2.566%