Match Analysis

Stade Rennais vs Aj Auxerre

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
17%
38%
Stade Rennais winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.87Avg goals scored2.10
2.22Avg goals conceded3.47
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Stade Rennais xG

Expected goals

3.4

AJ Auxerre xG

95%

Both Teams to Score

98%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

32

4%

33

4%

34

4%

42

4%

43

4%

44

4%

Home

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.1 / 3.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Stade Rennaisall timeAj Auxerre
1W
1D
2W
22 Feb 26
AJ Auxerre03Stade Rennais
19 Oct 25
Stade Rennais22AJ Auxerre
6 Apr 25
Stade Rennais01AJ Auxerre
3 Nov 24
AJ Auxerre40Stade Rennais

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Aj Auxerre?

Stade Rennais is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Stade Rennais's current form?

Stade Rennais have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Stade Rennais won 1, drew 1, and Aj Auxerre won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (4% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 95%. Over 2.5 goals: 98%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Stade Rennais Win45%
Draw17%
AJ Auxerre Win38%
BTTS95%
Over 2.598%

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