Match Analysis

Stade Rennais vs Le Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
14%
29%
Stade Rennais winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
2.35Avg goals scored2.00
2.12Avg goals conceded2.53
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Stade Rennais xG

Expected goals

3

Le Mans xG

93%

Both Teams to Score

97%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

32

4%

33

4%

42

4%

43

4%

52

4%

53

4%

Home

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

WDLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Le Mans?

Stade Rennais is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Stade Rennais's current form?

Stade Rennais have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (4% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 93%. Over 2.5 goals: 97%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Stade Rennais Win57%
Draw14%
Le Mans Win29%
BTTS93%
Over 2.597%

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