Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Stade Rennais xG
Expected goals
1.5
Lille xG
43%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
1–1
12%
0–2
11%
0–0
10%
1–2
9%
1–0
8%
Home
Stade Rennais
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Lille?
Lille is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Stade Rennais's current form?
Stade Rennais have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Stade Rennais won 1, drew 2, and Lille won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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