Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
Stade Rennais xG
Expected goals
2.2
Marseille xG
84%
Both Teams to Score
89%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
2–1
5%
3–1
5%
4–2
5%
1–1
4%
Home
Stade Rennais
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Marseille
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Marseille?
Stade Rennais is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Stade Rennais's current form?
Stade Rennais have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Stade Rennais won 2, drew 0, and Marseille won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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