Match Analysis

Stade Rennais vs Marseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
13%
37%
Stade Rennais winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
2.26Avg goals scored1.97
1.70Avg goals conceded1.76
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Stade Rennais xG

Expected goals

2.2

Marseille xG

84%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

22

6%

32

6%

21

5%

31

5%

42

5%

11

4%

Home

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Stade Rennaisall timeMarseille
2W
4W
17 May 26
Marseille31Stade Rennais
15 Aug 25
Stade Rennais10Marseille
17 May 25
Marseille42Stade Rennais
11 Jan 25
Stade Rennais12Marseille
17 Mar 24
Stade Rennais20Marseille
3 Dec 23
Marseille20Stade Rennais

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Marseille?

Stade Rennais is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Stade Rennais's current form?

Stade Rennais have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Stade Rennais won 2, drew 0, and Marseille won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Stade Rennais Win50%
Draw13%
Marseille Win37%
BTTS84%
Over 2.589%

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