Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Strasbourg xG
Expected goals
2.9
AS Monaco xG
73%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
7%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
0–2
5%
0–3
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $232K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Strasbourg
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
3.0 / 2.4
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
AS Monaco
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.6
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Strasbourg vs As Monaco?
AS Monaco is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Strasbourg's current form?
Strasbourg have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, drew 1, and As Monaco won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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