Match Analysis

Toulouse vs Le Havre Ac

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
32%
31%
Toulouse winDrawLe Havre AC win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
1.07Avg goals scored0.49
1.74Avg goals conceded0.97
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

0.6

Le Havre AC xG

27%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

22%

10

20%

01

13%

11

12%

20

9%

21

5%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Toulouseall timeLe Havre Ac
2W
1D
3W
15 Feb 26
Le Havre AC21Toulouse
2 Nov 25
Toulouse00Le Havre AC
23 Feb 25
Le Havre AC14Toulouse
15 Sep 24
Toulouse20Le Havre AC
10 Mar 24
Le Havre AC10Toulouse
5 Nov 23
Toulouse12Le Havre AC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Le Havre Ac?

Toulouse is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Toulouse won 2, drew 1, and Le Havre Ac won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Toulouse Win37%
Draw32%
Le Havre AC Win31%
BTTS27%
Over 2.519%