โšก Match Analysis

Toulouse vs Lille

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
26%
58%
Toulouse winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.26Avg goals scored1.26
1.58Avg goals conceded0.59
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

1.3

Lille xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

19%

0โ€“0

15%

0โ€“2

13%

1โ€“1

12%

1โ€“0

9%

1โ€“2

8%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lille

Lille

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Toulouseall timeLille
1W
1D
4W
12 Apr 26
Toulouse0โ€“4Lille
14 Sep 25
Lille2โ€“1Toulouse
12 Apr 25
Toulouse1โ€“2Lille
5 Oct 24
Lille2โ€“1Toulouse
25 Feb 24
Toulouse3โ€“1Lille
12 Nov 23
Lille1โ€“1Toulouse

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Toulouse won 1, drew 1, and Lille won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Toulouse Win16%
Draw26%
Lille Win58%
BTTS33%
Over 2.530%

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