Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
2.1
Lille xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
11%
0–1
10%
1–2
10%
1–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–3
7%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Lille
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Lille?
Lille is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Toulouse won 1, drew 1, and Lille won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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