Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
2
Lille xG
29%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
18%
0–2
18%
0–3
12%
0–0
9%
1–1
7%
1–2
7%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Lille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Lille?
Lille is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Toulouse won 1, drew 1, and Lille won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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