Toulouse vs Lyon
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
1.8
Lyon xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–0
5%
1–3
5%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Lyon?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Toulouse won 2, drew 1, and Lyon won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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