Toulouse vs Lyon
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
1.7
Lyon xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
5%
1–0
5%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Lyon?
Toulouse is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Toulouse won 2, drew 1, and Lyon won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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