Match Analysis

ToulousevsParis Saint-Germain

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
21%
40%
Toulouse winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
1.97Avg goals scored1.95
1.44Avg goals conceded1.22
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

1.9

Paris Saint-Germain xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Toulouse Win39%
Draw21%
Paris Saint-Germain Win40%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%