Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
2.1
Stade Rennais xG
81%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
2–3
5%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Stade Rennais
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Stade Rennais?
Toulouse is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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