Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
3
Strasbourg xG
78%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
1–3
7%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
1–1
5%
1–4
5%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Strasbourg
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
Strasbourg is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Toulouse won 2, drew 1, and Strasbourg won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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