Match Analysis

TroyesvsLe Havre AC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
35%
44%
Troyes winDrawLe Havre AC win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.60
0.55Avg goals scored0.64
2.23Avg goals conceded1.35
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Troyes xG

Expected goals

1

Le Havre AC xG

29%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

20%

0–1

20%

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

1–2

6%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

DLDLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Le Havre AC?

Le Havre AC is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win21%
Draw35%
Le Havre AC Win44%
BTTS29%
Over 2.522%