Match Analysis

Troyes vs Le Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
16%
66%
Troyes winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.99Avg goals scored1.74
2.40Avg goals conceded1.98
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Troyes xG

Expected goals

3

Le Mans xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

7%

13

7%

22

6%

23

6%

02

5%

03

5%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Le Mans?

Le Mans is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Troyes Win18%
Draw16%
Le Mans Win66%
BTTS76%
Over 2.584%