Match Analysis

TroyesvsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
14%
79%
Troyes winDrawLens win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.55Avg goals scored1.74
2.22Avg goals conceded1.60
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Troyes xG

Expected goals

2.7

Lens xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

12%

0–3

11%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–4

7%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Lens

Lens

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win7%
Draw14%
Lens Win79%
BTTS47%
Over 2.566%