Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Troyes xG
Expected goals
2.7
Lens xG
47%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
12%
0–3
11%
0–1
9%
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–4
7%
Home
Troyes
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Lens
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Troyes vs Lens?
Lens is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Troyes's current form?
Troyes have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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