Match Analysis

TroyesvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
16%
77%
Troyes winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.20
0.55Avg goals scored1.46
2.23Avg goals conceded1.23
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Troyes xG

Expected goals

2.2

Marseille xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

16%

0–1

15%

0–3

12%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

0–4

7%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win7%
Draw16%
Marseille Win77%
BTTS35%
Over 2.551%