Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Troyes xG
Expected goals
2.2
Marseille xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
16%
0–1
15%
0–3
12%
1–2
8%
0–0
7%
0–4
7%
Home
Troyes
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.6 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Marseille
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Troyes vs Marseille?
Marseille is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Troyes's current form?
Troyes have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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