Match Analysis

AFC BournemouthvsAston Villa

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
21%
28%
AFC Bournemouth winDrawAston Villa win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.00
1.78Avg goals scored1.76
1.19Avg goals conceded1.74
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected goals

1.5

Aston Villa xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AFC Bournemouth's current form?

AFC Bournemouth have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AFC Bournemouth Win51%
Draw21%
Aston Villa Win28%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%