Match Analysis

AFC BournemouthvsBrighton & Hove Albion

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
AFC Bournemouth winDrawBrighton & Hove Albion win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
1.12Avg goals scored2.90
2.46Avg goals conceded0.67
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected goals

4

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

11%

0–4

11%

0–5

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AFC Bournemouth's current form?

AFC Bournemouth have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AFC Bournemouth Win3%
Draw5%
Brighton & Hove Albion Win92%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%