Match Analysis

AFC BournemouthvsSunderland

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
22%
33%
AFC Bournemouth winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.12Avg goals scored0.95
2.46Avg goals conceded2.15
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected goals

1.6

Sunderland xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

3–1

6%

Home

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AFC Bournemouth's current form?

AFC Bournemouth have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AFC Bournemouth Win45%
Draw22%
Sunderland Win33%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%