โšก Match Analysis

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
23%
47%
Aston Villa winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.40
2.08Avg goals scored1.47
1.58Avg goals conceded0.61
4โ€“1โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)4โ€“0โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

1.7

Arsenal xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

11%

1โ€“1

11%

0โ€“2

10%

1โ€“2

10%

0โ€“0

7%

1โ€“0

7%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Aston Villaall timeArsenal
3W
1D
2W
30 Dec 25
Arsenal4โ€“1Aston Villa
6 Dec 25
Aston Villa2โ€“1Arsenal
18 Jan 25
Arsenal2โ€“2Aston Villa
24 Aug 24
Aston Villa0โ€“2Arsenal
14 Apr 24
Arsenal0โ€“2Aston Villa
9 Dec 23
Aston Villa1โ€“0Arsenal

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Aston Villa won 3, drew 1, and Arsenal won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Aston Villa Win30%
Draw23%
Arsenal Win47%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%

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