Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
1.2
Fulham xG
27%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
22%
0–0
18%
0–2
13%
1–1
11%
1–0
9%
1–2
7%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Fulham
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Fulham is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Aston Villa won 5, drew 0, and Fulham won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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