Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
0.8
Nottingham Forest xG
14%
Both Teams to Score
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
33%
0–1
27%
0–2
11%
1–0
10%
1–1
8%
0–3
3%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.3 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Nottingham Forest
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.1
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Aston Villa won 3, drew 1, and Nottingham Forest won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (33% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 14%. Over 2.5 goals: 10%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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