Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
2.6
Nottingham Forest xG
80%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ2
7%
2โ2
7%
1โ3
6%
2โ3
6%
1โ1
5%
2โ1
5%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Nottingham Forest
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Aston Villa won 3, drew 1, and Nottingham Forest won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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