Match Analysis

Aston VillavsSunderland

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
21%
21%
Aston Villa winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.23Avg goals scored0.95
1.81Avg goals conceded2.15
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

1.2

Sunderland xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?

Aston Villa is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Aston Villa Win58%
Draw21%
Sunderland Win21%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%