Match Analysis

BrentfordvsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
27%
44%
Brentford winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
1.79Avg goals scored1.47
1.33Avg goals conceded0.74
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Brentford xG

Expected goals

1.4

Arsenal xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

0–2

8%

Home

Brentford

Brentford

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brentford vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brentford's current form?

Brentford have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brentford Win29%
Draw27%
Arsenal Win44%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%