โšก Match Analysis

Brentford vs Chelsea

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
28%
20%
Brentford winDrawChelsea win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.29Avg goals scored0.86
1.46Avg goals conceded1.91
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“1โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Brentford xG

Expected goals

0.9

Chelsea xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

11%

2โ€“0

11%

1โ€“1

10%

2โ€“1

10%

3โ€“0

7%

3โ€“1

7%

Home

Brentford

Brentford

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea

LWLDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Brentfordall timeChelsea
1W
3D
2W
17 Jan 26
Chelsea2โ€“0Brentford
13 Sep 25
Brentford2โ€“2Chelsea
6 Apr 25
Brentford0โ€“0Chelsea
15 Dec 24
Chelsea2โ€“1Brentford
2 Mar 24
Brentford2โ€“2Chelsea
28 Oct 23
Chelsea0โ€“2Brentford

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brentford vs Chelsea?

Brentford is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brentford's current form?

Brentford have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Brentford won 1, drew 3, and Chelsea won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Brentford Win52%
Draw28%
Chelsea Win20%
BTTS51%
Over 2.555%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š