Match Analysis

BrentfordvsManchester City

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
21%
57%
Brentford winDrawManchester City win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.60
2.02Avg goals scored2.76
1.13Avg goals conceded0.80
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Brentford xG

Expected goals

2.1

Manchester City xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Brentford

Brentford

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brentford vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brentford's current form?

Brentford have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brentford Win22%
Draw21%
Manchester City Win57%
BTTS64%
Over 2.566%