Match Analysis

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
25%
30%
Brentford winDrawNottingham Forest win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.68Avg goals scored1.06
1.08Avg goals conceded0.97
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Brentford xG

Expected goals

0.8

Nottingham Forest xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

16%

11

12%

00

11%

20

11%

01

9%

21

9%

Home

Brentford

Brentford

DDDWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

WDDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Brentfordall timeNottingham Forest
2W
1D
3W
25 Jan 26
Brentford02Nottingham Forest
17 Aug 25
Nottingham Forest31Brentford
1 May 25
Nottingham Forest02Brentford
21 Dec 24
Brentford02Nottingham Forest
20 Jan 24
Brentford32Nottingham Forest
1 Oct 23
Nottingham Forest11Brentford

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Brentford is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brentford's current form?

Brentford have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Brentford won 2, drew 1, and Nottingham Forest won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Brentford Win45%
Draw25%
Nottingham Forest Win30%
BTTS41%
Over 2.538%