Brighton Hove Albion vs Arsenal
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
Expected goals
1.8
Arsenal xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
12%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
0–3
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $42K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.1 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Arsenal
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.3
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brighton Hove Albion vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brighton Hove Albion's current form?
Brighton Hove Albion have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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