Match Analysis

Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

93%
4%
3%
Brighton & Hove Albion winDrawAston Villa win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
3.14Avg goals scored0.37
1.28Avg goals conceded1.63
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

Expected goals

0.3

Aston Villa xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

30

14%

40

14%

50

12%

20

11%

10

5%

31

4%

Home

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

LWDLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brighton Hove Albion's current form?

Brighton Hove Albion have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion Win93%
Draw4%
Aston Villa Win3%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%