Match Analysis

Brighton Hove Albion vs Brentford

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
17%
19%
Brighton & Hove Albion winDrawBrentford win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
3.13Avg goals scored1.68
1.28Avg goals conceded1.08
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

Expected goals

1.6

Brentford xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

21

7%

31

7%

22

6%

32

6%

11

5%

20

5%

Home

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Brentford

Brentford

DDDWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brighton Hove Albion vs Brentford?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brighton Hove Albion's current form?

Brighton Hove Albion have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion Win64%
Draw17%
Brentford Win19%
BTTS75%
Over 2.583%