Match Analysis

Brighton & Hove AlbionvsManchester United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

74%
15%
11%
Brighton & Hove Albion winDrawManchester United win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
2.31Avg goals scored1.39
0.55Avg goals conceded2.11
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

Expected goals

1

Manchester United xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Manchester United

Manchester United

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brighton & Hove Albion's current form?

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion Win74%
Draw15%
Manchester United Win11%
BTTS59%
Over 2.571%