โšก Match Analysis

Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
34%
31%
Burnley winDrawWolverhampton Wanderers win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.60
0.80Avg goals scored0.74
1.89Avg goals conceded1.70
0โ€“2โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“3โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Burnley xG

Expected goals

1

Wolverhampton Wanderers xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

13%

1โ€“1

13%

0โ€“0

11%

0โ€“1

11%

2โ€“0

8%

2โ€“1

8%

Home

Burnley

Burnley

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wolverhampton Wanderers

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Burnleyall timeWolverhampton Wanderers
1W
2D
1W
24 May 26
Burnley1โ€“1Wolverhampton Wanderers
26 Oct 25
Wolverhampton Wanderers2โ€“3Burnley
2 Apr 24
Burnley1โ€“1Wolverhampton Wanderers
5 Dec 23
Wolverhampton Wanderers1โ€“0Burnley

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Burnley is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Burnley's current form?

Burnley have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Premier League meetings, Burnley won 1, drew 2, and Wolverhampton Wanderers won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Burnley Win35%
Draw34%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Win31%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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