Match Analysis

ChelseavsAFC Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
20%
33%
Chelsea winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.83Avg goals scored1.16
2.42Avg goals conceded1.57
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Chelsea xG

Expected goals

2

AFC Bournemouth xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?

Chelsea is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chelsea's current form?

Chelsea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chelsea Win47%
Draw20%
AFC Bournemouth Win33%
BTTS78%
Over 2.580%