Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
4
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
96%
Both Teams to Score
99%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–3
4%
3–4
4%
4–3
4%
4–4
4%
2–3
3%
2–4
3%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.9 / 2.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.9 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion?
Chelsea is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–3 (4% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 96%. Over 2.5 goals: 99%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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