Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
1.8
Leeds United xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
2–1
8%
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
3–1
5%
3–2
5%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Leeds United
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Leeds United?
Chelsea is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Premier League