Chelseavs
Tottenham Hotspur
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
0.9
Tottenham Hotspur xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
9%
3–0
9%
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Tottenham Hotspur
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Chelsea is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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