Match Analysis

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

93%
4%
3%
Chelsea winDrawTottenham Hotspur win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
2.27Avg goals scored0.32
1.88Avg goals conceded2.08
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.7

Chelsea xG

Expected goals

0.4

Tottenham Hotspur xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

30

14%

40

13%

20

11%

50

10%

10

6%

31

6%

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

LWLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.3 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Chelseaall timeTottenham Hotspur
6W
19 May 26
Chelsea21Tottenham Hotspur
1 Nov 25
Tottenham Hotspur01Chelsea
3 Apr 25
Chelsea10Tottenham Hotspur
8 Dec 24
Tottenham Hotspur34Chelsea
2 May 24
Chelsea20Tottenham Hotspur
6 Nov 23
Tottenham Hotspur14Chelsea

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Chelsea is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chelsea's current form?

Chelsea have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Chelsea won 6, drew 0, and Tottenham Hotspur won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Chelsea Win93%
Draw4%
Tottenham Hotspur Win3%
BTTS32%
Over 2.578%

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