Match Analysis

Coventry City vs Brighton Hove Albion

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
18%
53%
Coventry City winDrawBrighton & Hove Albion win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
0.00Avg goals scored2.28
1.59Avg goals conceded1.74
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Coventry City xG

Expected goals

2.7

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

7%

22

7%

13

6%

23

6%

11

5%

21

5%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $3.5M volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Coventry City
29%
0%
+29%
Draw
18%
Brighton & Hove Albion
53%
100%
-47%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Coventry City

Coventry City

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coventry City vs Brighton Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coventry City's current form?

Coventry City have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Coventry City Win29%
Draw18%
Brighton & Hove Albion Win53%
BTTS81%
Over 2.585%

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