Coventry Cityvs
Newcastle United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Coventry City xG
Expected goals
2.4
Newcastle United xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
18%
0–1
15%
0–3
14%
0–4
8%
1–2
7%
0–0
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $2.0M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Coventry City
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.2 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Newcastle United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Newcastle United is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Coventry City's current form?
Coventry City have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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