Match Analysis

Coventry City vs Newcastle United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
13%
71%
Coventry City winDrawNewcastle United win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.60
0.00Avg goals scored1.85
3.00Avg goals conceded1.70
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Coventry City xG

Expected goals

3.8

Newcastle United xG

85%

Both Teams to Score

93%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

6%

23

6%

14

5%

24

5%

12

4%

15

4%

Home

Coventry City

Coventry City

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

WDLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coventry City vs Newcastle United?

Newcastle United is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coventry City's current form?

Coventry City have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Coventry City Win16%
Draw13%
Newcastle United Win71%
BTTS85%
Over 2.593%

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