Match Analysis

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
16%
65%
Crystal Palace winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.59Avg goals scored1.39
2.72Avg goals conceded0.90
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Crystal Palace xG

Expected goals

2.8

Liverpool xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

9%

13

8%

02

7%

03

7%

11

6%

14

6%

Home

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

LWWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Crystal Palaceall timeLiverpool
2W
1D
3W
25 Apr 26
Liverpool31Crystal Palace
27 Sep 25
Crystal Palace21Liverpool
25 May 25
Liverpool11Crystal Palace
5 Oct 24
Crystal Palace01Liverpool
14 Apr 24
Liverpool01Crystal Palace
9 Dec 23
Crystal Palace12Liverpool

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Crystal Palace's current form?

Crystal Palace have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Crystal Palace won 2, drew 1, and Liverpool won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Crystal Palace Win19%
Draw16%
Liverpool Win65%
BTTS66%
Over 2.576%