Crystal Palace vs Manchester City
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Crystal Palace xG
Expected goals
3.7
Manchester City xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
10%
0–4
10%
0–2
8%
0–5
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
Home
Crystal Palace
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.7
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Manchester City is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Crystal Palace's current form?
Crystal Palace have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Crystal Palace won 0, drew 2, and Manchester City won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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