โšก Match Analysis

Crystal Palace vs Manchester City

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
17%
78%
Crystal Palace winDrawManchester City win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.01Avg goals scored2.05
2.09Avg goals conceded0.96
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Crystal Palace xG

Expected goals

3.1

Manchester City xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“2

10%

0โ€“3

10%

0โ€“4

8%

1โ€“2

8%

1โ€“3

8%

0โ€“1

6%

Home

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

WLDLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Manchester City

Manchester City

LDWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Crystal Palaceall timeManchester City
2D
4W
13 May 26
Manchester City3โ€“0Crystal Palace
14 Dec 25
Crystal Palace0โ€“3Manchester City
12 Apr 25
Manchester City5โ€“2Crystal Palace
7 Dec 24
Crystal Palace2โ€“2Manchester City
6 Apr 24
Crystal Palace2โ€“4Manchester City
16 Dec 23
Manchester City2โ€“2Crystal Palace

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Crystal Palace's current form?

Crystal Palace have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Crystal Palace won 0, drew 2, and Manchester City won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Crystal Palace Win5%
Draw17%
Manchester City Win78%
BTTS53%
Over 2.575%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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