Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Everton xG
Expected goals
1.7
Chelsea xG
73%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
2–0
5%
Home
Everton
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Chelsea
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Everton vs Chelsea?
Everton is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Everton's current form?
Everton have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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