Match Analysis

EvertonvsChelsea

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
21%
30%
Everton winDrawChelsea win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.36Avg goals scored2.65
0.95Avg goals conceded2.05
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Everton xG

Expected goals

1.7

Chelsea xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Everton

Everton

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Everton's current form?

Everton have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Everton Win49%
Draw21%
Chelsea Win30%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%