Match Analysis

Everton vs Crystal Palace

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
20%
8%
Everton winDrawCrystal Palace win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.12Avg goals scored1.59
0.77Avg goals conceded2.72
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Everton xG

Expected goals

0.9

Crystal Palace xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

10%

21

9%

30

9%

10

8%

31

8%

11

7%

Home

Everton

Everton

DDDWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

LWWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Evertonall timeCrystal Palace
4W
2D
10 May 26
Crystal Palace22Everton
5 Oct 25
Everton21Crystal Palace
15 Feb 25
Crystal Palace12Everton
28 Sep 24
Everton21Crystal Palace
19 Feb 24
Everton11Crystal Palace
11 Nov 23
Crystal Palace23Everton

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Everton's current form?

Everton have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Everton won 4, drew 2, and Crystal Palace won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Everton Win72%
Draw20%
Crystal Palace Win8%
BTTS55%
Over 2.568%