โšก Match Analysis

Everton vs Crystal Palace

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
22%
16%
Everton winDrawCrystal Palace win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
1.44Avg goals scored1.01
1.98Avg goals conceded2.09
0โ€“2โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Everton xG

Expected goals

1.4

Crystal Palace xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“1

7%

3โ€“1

7%

2โ€“0

6%

2โ€“2

6%

1โ€“0

5%

Home

Everton

Everton

LLDDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

WLDLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Evertonall timeCrystal Palace
4W
2D
10 May 26
Crystal Palace2โ€“2Everton
5 Oct 25
Everton2โ€“1Crystal Palace
15 Feb 25
Crystal Palace1โ€“2Everton
28 Sep 24
Everton2โ€“1Crystal Palace
19 Feb 24
Everton1โ€“1Crystal Palace
11 Nov 23
Crystal Palace2โ€“3Everton

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Everton's current form?

Everton have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Everton won 4, drew 2, and Crystal Palace won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Everton Win62%
Draw22%
Crystal Palace Win16%
BTTS69%
Over 2.575%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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