Match Analysis

EvertonvsManchester City

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
23%
51%
Everton winDrawManchester City win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.84Avg goals scored2.45
1.35Avg goals conceded1.26
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Everton xG

Expected goals

1.8

Manchester City xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Everton

Everton

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Manchester City

Manchester City

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Everton vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Everton's current form?

Everton have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Everton Win26%
Draw23%
Manchester City Win51%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%