Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Fulham xG
Expected goals
2.7
Chelsea xG
78%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
1–3
7%
2–2
7%
2–3
6%
1–1
5%
2–1
5%
Home
Fulham
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Chelsea
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 2.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fulham vs Chelsea?
Chelsea is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fulham's current form?
Fulham have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Fulham won 2, drew 0, and Chelsea won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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