โšก Match Analysis

Fulham vs Newcastle United

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
23%
35%
Fulham winDrawNewcastle United win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.89Avg goals scored1.32
0.91Avg goals conceded1.44
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Fulham xG

Expected goals

0.9

Newcastle United xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

15%

0โ€“0

14%

1โ€“1

13%

0โ€“1

12%

2โ€“0

8%

2โ€“1

7%

Home

Fulham

Fulham

WDLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Fulhamall timeNewcastle United
3W
3W
24 May 26
Fulham2โ€“0Newcastle United
25 Oct 25
Newcastle United2โ€“1Fulham
1 Feb 25
Newcastle United1โ€“2Fulham
21 Sep 24
Fulham3โ€“1Newcastle United
6 Apr 24
Fulham0โ€“1Newcastle United
16 Dec 23
Newcastle United3โ€“0Fulham

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Fulham is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fulham's current form?

Fulham have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Fulham won 3, drew 0, and Newcastle United won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Fulham Win42%
Draw23%
Newcastle United Win35%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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