Hull City vs Manchester United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Hull City xG
Expected goals
0.8
Manchester United xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
14%
2–0
12%
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
0–1
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $35K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Hull City
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Hull City vs Manchester United?
Hull City is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Hull City's current form?
Hull City have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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